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 The headache harvest moves - finally 

The headache harvest moves - finally

12 Dec, 2008 03:00 AM
DESPITE widespread marketing confusion in the first year of deregulation and the reluctance of growers to sell at current prices, export grain is starting to move from NSW.

GrainCorp’s Newcastle export terminal, which has had little use in the past two years because of drought-reduced crops, last Friday loaded 27,000 tonnes of wheat onto the Energy Star, the first wheat shipment since April 2007, apart from a small cargo (3675t) in mid-November.

GrainCorp estimates up to five shipments could go from Newcastle in January and three ships were lined up to take wheat from Port Kembla in January.

GrainCorp corporate affairs manager, David Ginns, said although an unusually high 90 per cent of growers had chosen initially to warehouse their grain this year, many needed the cash flow and had started to sell, leaving only 65 to 70pc of the grain in GrainCorp storages still warehoused.

Farmers were also responding to some improvement in prices, he said.

But grain markets are continuing to struggle to find their operating level as market rumours fly about, leaving both buyers and sellers unsure of the true supply and demand situation.

For more see this week's The Land.

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glad to see that "only" 65/70% of grain warehoused with our friends at graincorp remains uncommitted. David Ginns must be enormously relieved that the new competitive market place he lobbied so strenuously to bring about is performing so well. This lack of confidence in the new arrangements will drastically affect the long term viability of the states handling network, not to mention hundreds of grain famers, but Mr Ginns and all the other visionaries couldn't see any of this coming, the chooks are certainly coming home to roost now. With a significant portion of this year's crop still lying around well into next year there will not be much incentive to plant next season. Then again, in the new competitive market environment speculation is king, so maybe we'll see another big crop planted with all the risk that goes with it, although I'm not sure how it will be funded if we haven't sold the previous crop. There is also a growing environmental impact to consider in all of this, market based economic theory pays no heed to its environmental impact, it'll be interesting to watch the effect of speculative cropping on rotations, integrated pest management, soil management and so on, especially in low rainfall areas. I think the future for Graincorp and obviously Mr Ginns, is looking increasingly shaky, strangely ironic given the behaviour towards the previous marketing arrangements and the former Grower marketer.
Posted by mark2, 12/12/2008 5:03:34 PM

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It’s been a “confusing” harvest for Brian Doyle, and son, Alex, “Grawlin”, Forbes, but marketing to larger, well-established grain companies has helped ease the risk.
It’s been a “confusing” harvest for Brian Doyle, and son, Alex, “Grawlin”, Forbes, but marketing to larger, well-established grain companies has helped ease the risk.

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