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When the sun goes quiet earth shivers

13 Sep, 2009 06:00 PM
THE sun has gone quiet, with a sharp decline in sunspot numbers in the past couple of years - possibly heralding the start of a solar depression that could lead to cooler weather on Earth.

During the past millennium, whenever the sun experienced long periods of low sunspot numbers, Earth had equally long, cold snaps. The number of sunspots - dark and intensely magnetic blotches on the sun's surface - are at their lowest since 1913.

"This is the quietest sun we've seen in almost a century," said NASA solar forecaster David Hathaway.

"Since the space age began in the 1950s, solar activity has been generally high. Five of the most intense solar cycles on record have occurred in the past 50 years. We're just not used to this type of deep calm."

Sunspots cause other solar activity such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections, radiation which can interfere with Earth's magnetic field, upper atmosphere and, many scientists believe, Earth's climate.

There have been more than 200 spotless days so far this year and scientists expect the count to reach 290 by year's end. Last year there were 266 spotless days, the previous lowest number recorded since 1913, when there were 311 spotless days.

Sunspot numbers move in regular cycles of 11 years, so the timing of this quiet spell is not unexpected. What is unexpected is the depth and length of the spell. Some scientists believe it may be the start of a long period when the entire cycle is depressed, as it has been several times during the past millennium.

The most famous depression was the Maunder Minimum of 1645 to 1715 in which sunspots nearly vanished for 70 years. It coincided with the coldest period of the Little Ice Age.

"People are wondering about whether we're going into another Maunder Minimum or not," said Iver Cairns, from the University of Sydney's school of physics. "I think the balance of opinion is that it's too early to tell. But it could be very significant."

Professor Cairns said the fluctuation in sunspot numbers was not fully understood but it was linked to the "magnetic dynamo of the sun".

It was equally uncertain how - or indeed if - changes in solar activity affect Earth's climate.

"What some people think is that energetic particles from the sun get into Earth's magnetosphere and some of them get down to the ozone layer - you're talking 40 to 80 kilometres above the surface of Earth. They alter the chemistry of that layer … That changes the chemistry of other layers of the atmosphere, leading to winds and changes in temperature," he said.

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Hooray! About time someone printed it! I am not against us cleaning up our pollution, but the sheer bulldust re carbon is giving me the pip! See a web page called Wattupwith for a lot of info the mainstream media will not publish, due to carbon-pro leanings.

I admit I also almost fell for it, so well packaged, and fear engendering it is. Gore's PR, for instance, is well worked but sadly, the facts lack a lot.

Yet the carbon merry moneymakers stand to profit in billions! Latest idea is to move ALL carbon credit trading to a German EU controller - how suspect is that?

Buy woolen clothing, and plan for a cooler!!!

Posted by amicus curiae, 13/09/2009 8:13:40 PM
Please tell Kevin, Penny and Anna about it. On the other hand, they may not want to know about it because it could upset their friends, the Greens, and all the plans for the ETS.

And if Kevin hasn't got a crisis to divert everybody's attention they might discover what a fraud he is.

Posted by Bob, 14/09/2009 6:44:27 AM
It's the sun, stupid! See: http://www.climatesceptics.com.au/climate-change.html
Posted by Geoff from Ourimbah, 14/09/2009 8:30:51 AM
Interesting. Not that this will get much publicity. It isn't what the so-called experts want to hear.
Posted by Helen Clark, 14/09/2009 8:31:56 AM
President Kevin, our Dear Leader, has reached out his benevolent and loving hand and calmed the sun. We're not worthy, O great One. Comrades, give thanks to the Great Blonde One!
Posted by mbh, 14/09/2009 8:35:43 AM
Anna has linked this solar activity to the rural folks of Queensland. They all should have their wallets removed and all the land they own handed to the Greens in return for preferences.
Posted by Not Green, 14/09/2009 9:06:25 AM
Will the carbon in the atmosphere mean that the planet does not cool as far as during past solar mimimums and then when the sunspots come back, will it rise beyond where it is today or beyond safe levels? There still seems to be a lot of speculation in the solart science. I hope they're right.
Posted by the lorax, 14/09/2009 9:41:18 AM
Funny... didn't see a mention of carbon in the article, but it appears some are quite determined to find a link.

A question: Imagine it's a chilly winter's evening and you're sitting in front of the fire. Someone opens the door allowing cold air in. Would you then claim that the fire is not heating the room? I'd venture most sensible people would say that the cold draught has caused a temporary cooling... and that heating would continue once the door is shut.

Posted by GT, 14/09/2009 10:16:47 AM
Err, did you read the article? It specifically referred to an 11-year sunspot cycle. The long-term radiative forcing trend from greenhouse gases in our atmosphere is another issue entirely. Sunspot activity might impact climate over relatively short durations, but in the long run, unless we do something about that GHG blanket, we're all fried, regardless of short periods of favourable sunspot activity.
Posted by wally, 14/09/2009 10:17:30 AM
In 1911, the Niagara Falls froze over - people walked all over the frozen lake and falls. Maybe we are going to see a cold spell equivalent to that!!
Posted by Lindam, 14/09/2009 10:28:06 AM
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