News 
 National Rural News 
 Agribusiness and General 
 Finance 
 Business hopes collapse 

Business hopes collapse

11 Nov, 2008 03:05 PM
Business confidence in Australia collapsed to a record low in October as fears of a global economic slowdown crushed optimism at home.

Companies' confidence has now slid for 10 months in a row.

Last month's decline accelerated, though, with National Australia Bank's survey plunging 21 points to minus-29 from minus-8.4 in September.

A negative reading indicates that pessimists outnumber optimists.

"Continuing volatility in global equity markets, emergency financial packages, falling commodity prices, and continuing talk of a global recession have finally broken business optimism and now fear reigns supreme," said NAB group chief economist Alan Oster in a statement.

"Indeed it is worth noting that confidence readings are worse than the bottom of the 1990s recession has more to do with fear of the unknown than actual current outcomes."

Australian companies are paring back production as orders shrivel at home and abroad.

Alumina today became the latest firm to announce cut backs, with plans to reduce its aluminium output.

Rio Tinto and Fortescue yesterday announced a reduction of about 10pc in iron-ore production in part because of slowing demand in China.

The Reserve Bank yesterday lowered its growth forecast to 1.5pc in 2008-09 from its 2.25pc forecast made in August.

That estimate undercut the Rudd Government's own target of 2pc announced last Wednesday.

Confidence withers but CEO pay holds up

For corporate leaders in Australia, the weakening environment has not yet translated into lower pay.

Chief executives of the top 300 listed companies averaged $2.97 million in the year to June 2008, a gain of less than 1pc, from $2.96 million, according to the Australian Financial Review.

Over the same period, though, the S&P/ASX 200 plunged 16.9pc.

Bad news for Australian stocks continued today, with the main index falling below 4000 points after another retreat on Wall Street and China's rescue package failed to inspire investors.

At noon, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was down 4.3pc, or 177.4 points, to 3930.4. The All Ordinaries index was down 4.1pc, or 167.3 points, to 3892.7.

Today's confidence dive surpasses the level hit during 2001, when it reached minus-23, according to NAB.

The broad-based falls in confidence measured by NAB echoed a drop in business conditions, which tumbled 10 index points to minus-11 points in October from minus-1 in September, bringing the index near lows not seen since early 2001 when an economic slowdown was under way, Mr Oster said.

Within the business conditions survey, employment tumbled a "relatively sharp" 8 points to minus-10 index points.

The contraction in the labour component "is now indicative of labour shedding occurring and is more bearish than the official ABS employment estimates," NAB said.

Print
Increase Text Size
Decrease Text Size
Page:
1


RELATED COVERAGE

comments


No comments yet. Be the first to comment below.

post a comment


Screen name  *
Email address  *
Remember me?
Comment  *
 
We invite and encourage our readers to post comments. Comments are moderated and will appear as soon as our editor has approved them. When posting comments you agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions.
Related Coverage
ARTICLES
POLL
Q: Will farmers be better off if agriculture is included in a carbon emissions trading system?

Yes - selling carbon will make us more profitable
(23%)

No - carbon taxes will increase our costs
(46%)

Undecided - We need more information
(31%)

Total Votes: 574
Poll Date: 09 November, 2008

Most popular articles

Ray White Rural Northern Beef Week
 
MON0152
 
2UE Royal Broadcast
 
Photo Library
 
IRRIGATION CONFERENCE 2010
 
Land Subscriptions
 
Rural Bookshop
 
The Land Facebook


 SEND...
 SAVE...
 SHARE...