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ETS stand-off reflects our society

It is a fair reflection of Australian society that the Federal Government is having difficulty passing its emissions trading scheme legislation.

There are more positions in the Senate on the Government's ETS legislation than there are political parties - delay, destroy, amend, approve, and numerous combinations of all of the above.

The trouble for both of the major teams is uniting enough of those views to have a political win.

At one end of the spectrum is The Nationals. Many of their voters believe the human-induced climate change to be a con - just look at the results of this week's FarmOnline poll question.

But such is the fervour of persecution that awaits any climate change disbeliever that the party is arguing its position from an economic perspective - there is plenty of evidence to support the claim that the emissions trading scheme will destroy thousands of jobs.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Greens argue the cuts don't go far enough, a view that I'm guessing is probably reflective of most of middle Australia.

However, it is an ideologue's position that fails to address the legitimate concerns middle Australia also holds about economic security - thus many voters are torn as to how the government should respond to the issue.

The governing Labor Party has taken its position somewhere in the middle, trying to appease the economic concerns of the right with low targets, while appearing to take decisive action to appease the left.

While politically sound, it is also destined for failure - in trying to please everybody, it has annoyed nearly everybody.

Then again, failure may be what the Government wants - a trigger for a double dissolution to fight the next election on the issue of climate change and success there would give it a mandate for its policy.

By contrast Malcolm Turnbull, who came to the leadership of the Liberal Party promising a more progressive, centrist agenda, is caught trying to garner support for his attacks on the government by mustering the two extremes of the debate and his party behind him.

His only chance is to argue for big carbon cuts, but via a method that will not destroy the economy.

If he can devise such a method then the game will be his for the taking, but as smart as Malcolm may be, I doubt even he can solve that problem.

The trouble for all parties is that the public is desperately divided on the issue, right from the very core of the scientific substance to the human-induced climate change theory, which in turn governs the very nature of any political response to the problem of a changing climate.

As desperately as the environmental movement wants quick action on the issue, this debate will drag on for some time yet.

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The reason why National Party voters are in denial about climate change? The science of climate change predicts the death nell of the agriculture industry in Southern Australia as we know it, which obviously is something they don't want to happen. So the industry's reaction is? Sticking the fingers in the ears and saying, "it won't happen, it won't happen". But I think another voice in their heads is also saying, "what if it does, what if it does?" It's like a 1960's tobacco company saying cigarettes dont cause lung cancer.
Posted by Pete - Upper Murray, 27/05/2009 2:42:46 PM
There is a time and reason for everything. And a season for change. The current record dry spell in southern Australia should convince most meddling greens that their policies are not working. And if that is not enough, what about the Victorian bush fires? Sheep numbers have more than halved thanks to green thinking, national parks have more than doubled in area, logging industries have been crippled and still we have drought. Kangaroos abound everywhere causing havoc on our roads while decimating fences and stealing crops, pastures and water from farmers and their productive livestock exacerbating the dry run of seasons. Come on middle Australia if you want to continue to work eat and enjoy life. Support your farmers for they support you with domestic food security and valuable export dollars. Forget your Disney dreams and idealistic green thinking. This is a sunburnt country suited to sheep.
Posted by Common Cents, 28/05/2009 9:36:16 AM
I am a city slicker living in Sydney, so I suppose I'm part of "middle Australia". I believe, on scientific grounds, that the whole "human-caused global warming" theory is complete nonsense. There is going to be a monumental collapse of this idiocy when it finally becomes obvious that the real climate (changing naturally in its own good time) isn't following the computer model's scripts. Please, Country Australia, continue to support the Nationals and encourage them to oppose any ETS scheme outright. Otherwise, we will end up with policies devised entirely by politicians who have no idea at all about the realities of food production. Taxing farmers for some imaginary "carbon footprint" is completely insane!
Posted by Ken_L, 28/05/2009 9:54:07 PM
Hey common cents, how many of your ancestors were in the first waves of invasions that stole the land from the original inhabitants and the original flora and fauna. If you want Australia to come on board, get out of the fifties and get with the times. The ecosytems that gave agriculture its great bounty have been damged by ignorant greedy politicians and farmers.

And as for Ken L - mate, the observations are very close to the predictions. I am sick and tired of the farming lobby claiming the "green hysteria" is hogwash and then embarking on thier own hysteria - jobs will go, the ag sector is doomed when NO ONE has the facts of how ag will be treated, how high will the threshold be, what compensation is offered or what flow on prices farmers can move, this is simply hysteria and nonsense. How about getting off your soap box and have a look at farmer subsidies in the US and EU or the impact of free trade on the Australian ag sector. These are policies of your coalition mates. 10 years of coalition and the country is in a worse state than ever before but you let your politics get in the road of changes for the better.

Posted by the lorax, 29/05/2009 1:28:34 PM
Lorax, your at it again, attacking the man and not the ball, if you can't do better than this I will have to prescribe medication.
Posted by Dr Fill, 1/06/2009 3:36:53 PM
more rope for the lorax
Posted by uncommon sense, 1/06/2009 9:47:33 PM
Which observations are very close to which predictions? Many of the most publicised "observations" do not pass any tests which would enable them to be admitted as science. Even the temperature records raise huge difficulties as cities spread around many of the observation stations, thereby not only collecting and storing more solar heat but also increasing the number of heaters, stoves, vehicles and industries in the vicinity. Even air conditioners are net generators of heat. Overriding all of this is the knowledge that any changes that we have seen are still well within the bounds of previous experience, and that these people who tell us with certainty what the weather will be in a hundred years cannot tell us with certainty what the weather will be in eight days from today.
Posted by Ted O'Brien., 4/06/2009 8:04:33 AM
Personally, I don't care whether humans are responsible for climate change or not. We waste too much energy and resources. We need an ETS with hard challenging targets, that our capacity for innovation can meet. Let's have our cars using 2l fuel per 100km, minimum energy but comfortable (warm in winter, cool in summer) and better ventilated homes as per eg European Minergie standard.
Posted by Farmer, 9/06/2009 8:29:28 AM
I agree with you Ken L. I have lived in the city most of my life, but I know that this nation is very dependent on the rural sector. Some people seem to think that we can live on air and that we should not have an agricultural industry because of all the 'bad things those farmers have done to wreck the environment'.

I say let such people be true to their principles and let them never be caught with anything that has been produced by the farming sector. Then I might believe that they are not just self-righteous hypocrites! Farmers should oppose the ETS as vigorously as they can. Only the National Party seems to have any sense on this matter.

Posted by diathyky, 9/06/2009 11:54:56 AM
There are two main issue here. Is the climate changing and is man causing it? If the climate is changing we need to know how and in what manner. Then we should be spending all our money and investment on developing a food production system to feed the growing population. This system may need to be very flexible and adaptive if the climate is changing and more so if the climate is changing rapidly. If the climate is not changing then we can get back to fixing salinity, erosion pest plants and animals and slowly improving productivity.

If man is causing it then we need to bring everything else into play. It is likely going to be some time before we get definitive proof that it is or is not man causing climate change. In the meantime the smart farmer would be able to work out a way to capitalise on this to help develop a more robust and resilient farming system, just in case. By denying action on climate change the interest of landholders and the ag industry is not well served. This is a massive opportunity.

Rather than denying climate change and that humans are causing it, landholders should be emphatically agreeing and offering a solution. Landholders should be saying, yes there is a problem and all you city folk are causing it with your nasty cars and electricity and yes we can help fix it by storing carbon in the soil and trees, but, but it’s going to be hard. The rural sector will need billions in improved irrigation, whole farm, catchment and regional planning, we will need to do a lot of measuring and testing and we will need to be retrained. To ensure we can keep feeding the population and allowing for exports we are going to need generous tax concessions and better facilities in the bush to keep the new green professionals. In short yes we can help you get out of your mess but we are going to need your help to do it. We will need long term security on how we own and manage farms including access to resources export markets and protection from inferior foreign products. The current duopoly of supermarkets must be regulated to provide decent farm gate prices, and so on.

Of course landholders are going to need a stronger and more representative role in parliament in the new world order as the landholders play such a vital role in providing food and clean air. Imagine if the Nats said to Labor "righto, you give us what we want and the right incentives for soil carbon and tree carbon, protect our industry and we can lower Aus emissions by XXXtonnes for a small cost. If you do what we need for the ag sector and at the same time keep the mining sector off our land then we will cross the floor and vote for the ETS. That is representation, not blindly following the Liberals like a petulant child. Labor gets the ETS, the Greens don’t get their big cuts, the Liberals get the kick in the ass that they need and the Nats set themselves up as the third major party representing the now saviours of the world, the Aussie farmer.

The government has pledged billions of dollars to a national broadband system that will benefit the millions in the cities but do little for the bush. I would ask that the government commit to a 60 Billion dollar rural defence fund. 20 billion to go on soil conservation and forestation projects that will store greenhouse gasses from industry, 20 billion into sustainable on farm production such as land classification, climate change mitigation and the development of non fossil fuels etc and 20 billion into regional infrastructure including education and health, transport and irrigation management, including the development of the northern regions.

Posted by the lorax, 9/06/2009 10:26:18 PM
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The week observed
FarmOnline editor Michael Thomson's observations of the week's major rural news and what it means for rural Australia.
A House divided.
A House divided.
Related Coverage
ARTICLES
POLL
Q: Do you believe human activity is the cause of climate change?

Yes
(43.6%)

No
(48%)

Undecided
(8.4%)

Total Votes: 1138
Poll Date: 24 May, 2009

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